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Red0
104824.9
30325.0
Blue18
3019.2
108919.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51400206080100018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
25.00.4
25.425.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1089
Unranked
19.90.4
20.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1048
Unranked
24.90.4
25.424.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
30
Unranked
19.20.4
19.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End