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Red8
22224.9
17412.9
Blue31
104824.9
83920.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31350206080100120140831

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
24.90.7
21.620.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1048
Unranked
24.95.5
24.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
174
Unranked
12.91.1
9.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
839
Unranked
20.40.9
16.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End