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Red17
22224.9
86913.3
Blue41
115612.6
8961.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43802060801001201741

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
24.92.2
26.924.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
1156
Unranked
12.63.2
9.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
869
Unranked
13.33.2
16.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
896
Unranked
1.43.0
-1.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End