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Red80
5621.2
10229.6
Blue28
22810.1
22412.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47250204060801008028

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
Unranked
29.61.2
26.327.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
224
Unranked
12.91.2
14.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56
Unranked
21.21.2
20.421.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
228
Unranked
10.11.2
11.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End