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Red45
70912.9
75210.6
Blue106
30325.0
55517.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2739020608010012045106

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
Unranked
12.91.9
14.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
303
Unranked
25.01.9
23.525.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
752
Unranked
10.61.9
12.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
555
Unranked
17.62.5
15.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End