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Red34
13622.5
122811.6
Blue35
3817.9
20317.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481301001503435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136
Unranked
22.52.2
25.122.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
203
Unranked
17.92.2
10.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1228
Unranked
11.62.2
22.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
381
Unranked
7.91.6
2.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End