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Red78
3817.9
10332.1
Blue7
55017.1
70912.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333010204050607080787

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
32.12.6
29.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
550
Unranked
17.14.4
22.217.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
381
Unranked
7.92.9
3.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
709
Unranked
12.92.9
10.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End