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Red3
17412.9
1111.3
Blue35
86913.3
7517.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263406080100120140160335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174
Unranked
12.91.2
8.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
75
Unranked
17.21.5
12.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11
Unranked
11.31.5
17.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
869
Unranked
13.31.5
22.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End