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Red6
22810.1
122811.6
Blue66
6132.8
3019.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40120206080100120140160666

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
Unranked
11.65.5
20.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
30
Unranked
19.23.3
13.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
10.13.3
19.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
613
Unranked
2.85.5
-1.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End