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Red39
22325.3
5621.2
Blue0
6132.8
3817.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4590206080100120390

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
Unranked
25.30.1
24.624.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
381
Unranked
7.90.1
6.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56
Unranked
21.20.1
20.220.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
613
Unranked
2.80.2
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End