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Red21
6132.8
86913.3
Blue69
30325.0
22412.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2441060801001201402169

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
Unranked
13.31.9
20.919.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
303
Unranked
25.01.1
24.125.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
613
Unranked
2.81.9
2.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
224
Unranked
12.91.1
17.318.4
Auto
Teleop
End