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Red130
70912.9
71634.5
Blue43
8961.4
2938.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612020608010012013043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
34.52.3
27.229.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
293
Unranked
8.33.9
13.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
709
Unranked
12.92.3
9.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
896
Unranked
1.43.9
-1.9-5.9
Auto
Teleop
End