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Red36
22325.3
30325.0
Blue59
8733.8
8418.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50504045553659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
Unranked
25.30.9
24.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
87
Unranked
33.80.9
31.732.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
303
Unranked
25.00.9
25.224.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
84
Unranked
18.21.4
17.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End