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Red65
418.2
34025.2
Blue5
22412.9
6132.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29220406080100655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
25.22.0
20.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
224
Unranked
12.92.0
15.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41
Unranked
8.23.1
8.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
613
Unranked
2.83.1
6.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End