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Red8
3717.3
3817.9
Blue37
86913.3
8418.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193506080100120837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
381
Unranked
7.90.5
7.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
84
Unranked
18.20.7
19.420.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
371
Unranked
7.30.7
10.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
869
Unranked
13.30.7
15.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End