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Red8
122811.6
75210.6
Blue40
2199.1
63718.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292901020405060840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
Unranked
11.61.7
11.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
637
Unranked
18.11.7
19.421.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
752
Unranked
10.61.1
15.714.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
219
Unranked
9.11.7
10.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End