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Red8
38033.2
48135.8
Blue47
52249.3
69424.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707320406080100847

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
481
Unranked
35.80.5
36.235.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
522
Unranked
49.30.5
48.849.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
380
Unranked
33.20.5
33.733.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
694
Unranked
24.40.6
23.924.4
Auto
Teleop
End