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Red44
122410.9
2377.2
Blue6
33529.0
33412.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36430206080100120140160446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1224
Unranked
10.92.8
14.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
335
Unranked
29.02.8
24.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
Unranked
7.22.8
21.123.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
334
Unranked
12.52.8
18.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End