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Red110
59635.8
75936.8
Blue18
37540.9
7432.1
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492802040608010012011018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
759
Unranked
36.84.4
23.027.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
375
Unranked
40.94.4
23.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
596
Unranked
35.83.0
26.129.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.7
743
Unranked
2.14.4
4.2-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End