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Red71
75936.8
7113.4
Blue36
35413.5
33412.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4026060801001201401607136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
759
Unranked
36.81.3
27.428.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
354
Unranked
13.51.3
13.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
711
Unranked
3.41.3
12.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
334
Unranked
12.51.3
13.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End