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Red101
37540.9
7432.1
Blue7
123716.6
33412.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264302060801001201401017

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
Unranked
40.96.0
29.935.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
1237
Unranked
16.66.5
20.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
743
Unranked
2.16.0
-3.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
334
Unranked
12.56.0
22.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End