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Red61
48135.8
122410.9
Blue7
34826.0
39533.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426402080100120617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
481
Unranked
35.82.8
34.136.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
395
Unranked
33.22.8
35.232.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1224
Unranked
10.93.5
8.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
348
Unranked
26.02.8
28.725.9
Auto
Teleop
End