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Red35
59635.8
37540.9
Blue42
38033.2
48135.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77720501001502002503003542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
Unranked
40.90.2
41.040.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
481
Unranked
35.80.2
37.137.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
596
Unranked
35.80.2
36.035.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
380
Unranked
33.20.2
34.634.8
Auto
Teleop
End