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Red31
39533.2
34826.0
Blue17
52249.3
69424.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587102040801001201403117

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
33.20.3
32.933.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
522
Unranked
49.30.4
48.147.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
348
Unranked
26.00.3
25.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
694
Unranked
24.40.4
23.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End