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Red61
34023.4
64217.8
Blue5
1749.8
103816.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41320100150200615

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
23.42.9
25.628.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1038
Unranked
16.22.9
18.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
642
Unranked
17.82.9
15.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
174
Unranked
9.82.9
13.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End