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Red44
10007.7
37819.9
Blue39
54129.4
96613.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352801001502002503003504004439

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
Unranked
19.90.1
17.016.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
541
Unranked
29.40.1
10.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
Unranked
7.711.8
6.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
966
Unranked
13.70.1
17.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End