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Red59
46933.6
37918.2
Blue47
83528.2
64217.8
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48480204060801001205947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
33.60.8
32.633.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
835
Unranked
28.20.8
25.925.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
Unranked
18.20.8
14.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
642
Unranked
17.80.8
22.021.3
Auto
Teleop
End