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Red45
14126.1
4821.1
Blue34
19125.4
29122.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454801001502002503004534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
Unranked
26.10.9
24.425.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
191
Unranked
25.40.9
25.724.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48
Unranked
21.10.9
21.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
291
Unranked
22.40.9
22.421.6
Auto
Teleop
End