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Red90
2734.5
100824.7
Blue10
5788.9
49414.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532504060801001201409010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
Unranked
34.53.2
31.634.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
494
Unranked
14.43.2
11.07.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1008
Unranked
24.73.2
21.624.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
578
Unranked
8.93.2
13.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End