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Red34
9417.3
46933.6
Blue36
27410.1
12316.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532204060801001203436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
33.62.0
33.431.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
123
Unranked
16.22.0
14.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
94
Unranked
17.32.0
19.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
274
Unranked
10.12.0
8.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End