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Red34
83528.2
37819.9
Blue32
90228.5
49414.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5441020801001201403432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
Unranked
28.20.2
30.930.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
902
Unranked
28.50.2
27.727.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
378
Unranked
19.90.2
22.722.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
494
Unranked
14.40.2
13.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End