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Red12
31427.0
105315.2
Blue13
9147.5
78322.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432802060801001201401601213

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
27.00.6
26.926.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
783
Unranked
22.40.6
21.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1053
Unranked
15.21.0
16.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
914
Unranked
7.51.0
6.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End