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Red18
652-5.1
12325.3
Blue121
71412.6
77336.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15350608010012014016018121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1232
Unranked
5.37.7
5.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.8
773
Unranked
36.15.2
16.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
652
Unranked
-5.14.9
-3.1-7.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
714
Unranked
12.65.2
18.223.4
Auto
Teleop
End