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Red36
18831.5
91219.4
Blue12
78116.4
77616.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483101002003004005006003612

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
31.50.5
23.323.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
776
Unranked
16.80.5
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
912
Unranked
19.40.5
24.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
781
Unranked
16.40.5
18.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End