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Red105
100631.1
10635.1
Blue30
114125.8
10498.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4831010015020025030035010530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1006
Unranked
31.12.9
28.231.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1141
Unranked
25.83.6
19.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1063
Unranked
5.13.6
19.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1049
Unranked
8.43.6
11.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End