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Red8
105315.2
31427.0
Blue86
107520.8
84325.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4024050100150200886

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
27.03.5
24.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
843
Unranked
25.05.9
10.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1053
Unranked
15.25.9
15.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
1075
Unranked
20.85.9
13.919.7
Auto
Teleop
End