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Red39
84325.0
111216.4
Blue9
71412.6
75815.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41350100200300400500600700399

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
843
Unranked
25.01.5
23.424.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
758
Unranked
15.91.5
17.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1112
Unranked
16.41.5
17.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
714
Unranked
12.61.5
18.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End