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Red40
57811.8
114125.8
Blue122
91917.6
91219.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2737020608010012014040122

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1141
Unranked
25.812.1
25.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
912
Unranked
19.44.5
19.724.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
578
Unranked
11.84.2
8.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
919
Unranked
17.64.5
17.321.8
Auto
Teleop
End