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Red32
100910.2
111416.6
Blue89
122914.9
84926.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31340204060801003289

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
16.62.0
17.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
849
Unranked
26.13.3
26.529.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1009
Unranked
10.23.3
12.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1229
Unranked
14.93.3
7.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End