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Red3
10326.1
31623.5
Blue150
8728.9
27216.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544102060801001201403150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
26.12.0
28.026.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
87
Unranked
28.92.0
26.228.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
Unranked
23.52.0
25.523.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
272
Unranked
16.32.0
14.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End