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Red43
5288.7
43326.4
Blue19
30011.1
81621.4
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1936060801001201404319

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
Unranked
26.42.6
13.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
816
Unranked
21.41.7
21.419.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
528
Unranked
8.71.7
5.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
300
Unranked
11.12.2
14.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End