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Red6
27216.3
83411.5
Blue85
36529.1
48428.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385702080100120140685

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
Unranked
16.33.3
21.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
365
Unranked
29.13.3
22.125.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
834
Unranked
11.53.8
15.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
484
Unranked
28.83.3
34.537.7
Auto
Teleop
End