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Red33
9634.0
5617.9
Blue11
111327.8
70913.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3636010203040506070803311

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96
Unranked
34.00.5
30.130.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1113
Unranked
27.80.9
16.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
561
Unranked
7.90.9
9.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
709
Unranked
13.60.9
15.414.4
Auto
Teleop
End