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Red54
65133.5
83411.5
Blue26
81621.4
42220.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42440102030506070805426

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
651
Unranked
33.51.3
31.132.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
816
Unranked
21.41.1
20.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
834
Unranked
11.51.8
11.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
422
Unranked
20.91.3
23.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End