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Red2
10326.1
5618.3
Blue112
56315.0
10216.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503701001502002503003504002112

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
26.17.2
29.422.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
102
Unranked
16.37.7
18.926.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56
Unranked
18.37.2
20.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
563
Unranked
15.07.7
18.225.9
Auto
Teleop
End