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Red53
11437.8
8728.9
Blue39
23016.4
48428.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3753020801001201401605339

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87
Unranked
28.91.3
26.828.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
484
Unranked
28.81.3
37.035.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1143
Unranked
7.81.8
10.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
230
Unranked
16.41.1
15.914.8
Auto
Teleop
End