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Red32
70913.6
11437.8
Blue6
1451.4
5288.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2924050100150200326

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
Unranked
13.61.3
16.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
528
Unranked
8.70.8
7.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1143
Unranked
7.81.3
12.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
145
Unranked
1.41.3
16.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End