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Red89
22420.7
48629.3
Blue73
357-3.7
69424.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492201001508973

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
29.30.4
30.029.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
694
Unranked
24.50.4
26.526.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
Unranked
20.70.7
18.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.4
357
Unranked
-3.70.4
-4.4-3.9
Auto
Teleop
End