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Red81
22221.6
56315.0
Blue89
20420.9
48428.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4555020801001201401608189

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
21.60.1
19.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
484
Unranked
28.80.1
35.735.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
563
Unranked
15.00.1
25.725.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
204
Unranked
20.90.1
19.119.0
Auto
Teleop
End