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Red42
5288.7
34122.2
Blue46
30421.3
27216.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353101001502002503003504246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
22.20.3
27.927.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
304
Unranked
21.30.5
19.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
528
Unranked
8.70.3
7.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
272
Unranked
16.30.3
12.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End